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Biden’s Historic Prisoner Swap an Indication Putin Betting Trump Will Lose: Pundits

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The rumors of what was about to become the largest prisoner exchange since the Cold War started Tuesday.

“Five prominent political prisoners got missing from their prisons in Russia. It seems a big prisoner swap is in the making with the West and/or Ukraine,” wrote former BBC and Wall Street Journal reporter Alexander Kolyandr, now a a non-resident senior scholar at the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA). “If so, #EvanGershkovich might be free very soon.”

Evan Gershkovich is the Wall Street Journal reporter wrongfully arrested in Russia in March of 2023 on false charges of spying, sentenced two weeks ago to 16 years in prison, but released Thursday as part of the historic prisoner swap with several foreign countries personally negotiated at times by President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.

Vice President Harris “played a role in negotiations with allies to secure the prisoner-swap deal,” The Wall Street Journal reports. “Harris met with both German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Slovenian Prime Minister Robert Golob separately in intimate settings during the Munich Security Conference in February to urge both leaders to push the deal through, according to a White House official.”

Twenty-six prisoners in total were released, including 16 being held by Russia and Belarus, and a total of ten from the United States, Germany, Norway, Poland, Slovenia, and Turkey. In addition to Gershkovich, among those being returned to the U.S. are Paul Whalen, Alsu Kurmasheva, and Vladimir Kara-Murza.

READ MORE: A Reporter Read Donald Trump’s Words Back to Him. Now Hugh Hewitt is Furious.

“We are grateful to President Biden and his administration for working with persistence and determination to bring Evan home rather than see him shipped off to a Russian work camp for a crime he didn’t commit,” Wall Street Journal Editor-in-Chief Emma Tucker wrote in an open letter on the paper’s website.

Reuters describes the exchange as “a complex deal negotiated in secrecy for more than a year,” while The Wall Street Journal reported that President Joe Biden “about an hour before he notified the world he was dropping out of the presidential race on July 21—called the prime minister of Slovenia, whose country was contributing two convicted Russian spies to the swap, to secure the pardon necessary for the deal to proceed.”

WSJ aded, “CIA Director William Burns traveled to Turkey last week to meet his counterpart there and finalize the logistics for the swap,” and, “White House officials, U.S. diplomats and personnel from the CIA had crisscrossed Europe and the Middle East looking for friendly governments willing to release the Russian spies in their custody in return for Americans held by the Kremlin.”

All done in secret to ensure the deal’s success.

Back in June, Donald Trump, the ex-president running for re-election again, announced in a video on his social media website that Russian President Putin would release Gershkovich but only if Trump was re-elected.

“Evan Gershkovich, the reporter for The Wall Street Journal who is being held by Russia will be released almost immediately after the election, but definitely before I assume office,” Trump claimed. “He will be home, he’ll be safe. Vladimir Putin, President of Russia will do that for me. And I don’t believe he will do it for anyone else.”

READ MORE: ‘Self-Immolating’ Trump Should Drop Out After ‘Disastrous’ Interview: Critics

One month earlier, Trump campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung had said, “There is only one person who can negotiate the safe return of Mr. Gershkovich back to his family – President Trump.”

Veteran political pundits and journalists are saying Russian President Vladimir Putin is now betting that Trump will not win the White House in November, and opted to do the deal now because he wanted certain Russians back.

“Trump publicly told Putin to withhold a prisoner swap until after the election, saying it wouldn’t happen unless he was elected. Putin clearly is not listening: he’s reading the polls and realizes Trump is not going to be our next president. So he has to work with Biden,” progressive political commentator Thom Hartmann wrote.

Brookings Institution’s Norm Eisen, a CNN legal analyst, observed, “Even Putin is losing confidence in Trump after the past two weeks! —& so finalized this (long-brewing) deal with Biden-Harris.”

“Trump bloviated about how he was going to have the hostages released because of his bromance with Putin. Putin however chose to do it while Biden was in office, because he knew Trump would not have a relationship with our key allies like Germany to make a deal happen,” wrote civil rights and national security journalist Marcy Wheeler.

“Looks as if Putin has abruptly lost confidence that Trump will win in November. Locking in his hostage-taking payoff early,” remarked The Atlantic’s David Frum, a former Bush 43 speechwriter.

Talking Points Memo founder and editor-in-chief Josh Marshall agreed with Frum: “My thought too. Putin thinks his boy doesn’t have the juice.”

READ MORE: ‘GOP Has No Answer for This’: Pollster Says Harris Campaign Close to Becoming a ‘Movement’

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Trump Explains ‘Dumb’ Has a ‘B’

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President Donald Trump thrilled his supporters in New York on Friday as he shared how he came up with his latest nickname for Democrats — his explanation included a spelling lesson.

“Blue means Dumocrat,” the president said. “That’s a new name I came up with.”

“I was, I was thinking about this character we have in the House. His name is Hakeem Jeffries,” Trump said to boos from the audience.

“And he’s a low IQ person, very low IQ.”

“And I watched what he was saying, and what the horrible things he was saying, and I said, ‘He’s a dumb guy.’ I said, Wait a minute, he’s a Dumocrat. That’s how I got the name,” Trump excitedly said.

“You take the ‘e’ out, you don’t use the ‘b’. A lot of people don’t know ‘dumb’ has a ‘b’ in it, actually. You don’t need it. You discard the ‘b.’

“But you take the ‘e’ out, and you replace it with a ‘u.'”

“They are Dumocrats. You know why? ‘Cause their policies are dumb. Their policies are very dumb. All of their policies.”

Critics mocked the president.

“His uncle taught at MIT, but Trump just recently learned there is a b in dumb,” wrote political strategist Jeff Timmer.

Dumbo @realDonaldTrump here is the only one who doesn’t know there’s a b in DUMB,” said former GOP Congresswoman Barbara Comstock.

“It’s impossible to overstate how f— — stupid Trump looks on the world stage,” wrote another online commenter.

 

Image via Reuters 

 

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‘Good Riddance’: Critics Cheer Tulsi Gabbard’s ‘Shocking’ Resignation

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President Donald Trump’s controversial Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, is resigning.

“Unfortunately, I must submit my resignation, effective June 30, 2026,” DNI Gabbard wrote to President Trump, Fox News reports. “My husband, Abraham, has recently been diagnosed with an extremely rare form of bone cancer.”

“During pivotal moments,” NBC News reports, “as Trump deliberated over possible military action or watched live video feeds of operations in Iran or Venezuela, Gabbard was often not in the room, underscoring her outsider status.”

“Gabbard has had a tough tenure being sidelined on Venezuela and Iran. Last month, Trump floated replacing her with Pam Bondi, but some advisers saved her,” reported WIRED’s Hugo Lowell.

President Trump wrote that Gabbard had done an “incredible job,” and “we will miss her,” while Reuters reports that the White House ‌”forced” Gabbard “to ⁠resign ​from her ​post, a person familiar ​with ​the matter said ‌on ⁠Friday.”

The Wall Street Journal’s Dave Brown called Gabbard’s tenure “tumultuous.”

Critics were quick to respond.

“Good riddance. The Iran war has been the biggest display of intelligence incompetence in decades,” wrote U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-MI).

“Tulsi Gabbard leaves this administration in disgrace after helping Trump drag the country into yet another forever war in the Middle East,” wrote political strategist Mike Nellis. “She built her entire image on opposing these wars, then abandoned that principle the second it became politically inconvenient. That’s her legacy: a complete fraud, completely full of s— — about the one thing people thought she genuinely believed in. Good f— — riddance.”

“Also, is anybody in Congress or the media going to get to the bottom of the whistleblower’s story about Tulsi Gabbard withholding classified intercepted intel for political reasons?” Nellis continued. “What the hell happened there, or are we just going to pretend that didn’t happen?”

“Are we ever going to found out if Tulsi Gabbard broke how many different national security laws by allegedly refusing to hand over investigative documents, or is that just going away now?” asked writer Charlotte Clymer.

Professor and policy analyst Adam Cochran called Gabbard’s resignation “shocking,” and added: “Can’t imagine what they would ask to do that is too out of line for her…”

Associate Professor of Political Science Christopher Clary said Gabbard “will go down as perhaps the most ineffective and incompetent DNI in the short history of that position.”

Image via Reuters 

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The ‘Slow, Boring’ and ‘Easy’ Way to Tax the Rich: Expert

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President Donald Trump managed to effectively raise taxes on the majority of Americans through his tax policies, while handing the richest five percent a tax cut. Now, many Americans want to see the rich pay their fair share — and that could mean increasing their taxes.

The former chief economist of the White House Office of Management and Budget, Professor Zachary Liscow, argues there’s a “slow, boring” yet “easy” way to do so.

“The United States is seeing an increasing concentration of wealth at the very top and a worsening national debt,” Liscow writes in an op-ed at The New York Times. “For many Americans, taxing the rich more is an obvious move.”

He details some of the “novel proposals to curb the many intricate ways the rich make and hide their money,” including a wealth tax, a tax on unrealized gains, and a tax on “loans that billionaires take against their stock.”

But, Liscow warns, while novel, these methods would not raise the substantial amount of money the U.S. needs.

“The boring truth is that Congress can accomplish a lot simply by raising the rates of the taxes already on the books,” Liscow explains.

He examines U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren’s (D-MA) proposal to tax “fortunes above $50 million,” and says there are “serious constitutional and policy arguments for this idea, but the Supreme Court’s current members would probably strike it down.”

There is a billionaire’s tax proposal by U.S. Senator Ron Wyden (D-OR) that would tax unrealized capital gains, “the appreciation in the paper value of assets such as stocks.” That would likely find a Supreme Court challenge.

There are other tax vehicles, like fixing the “buy, borrow, die” loophole, which would tax loans taken against stock portfolios, but that would likely not raise sufficient funds: “It’s just not where the money is.”

He finds that “the most powerful lever is also the simplest one,” and concludes that “Congress has a simpler, tried-and-true tax policy to choose from: raising the rates.”

Liscow is advocating to restore the “top marginal ordinary income tax rate to its pre-2017 level of 39.6 percent” — where it was before Trump’s first term in office.

“In addition, raising the corporate tax rate from 21 percent toward the 35 percent it had been set at historically would add hundreds of billions in revenue for the government,” he says.

“Raising the rates,” Liscow concludes, “the simple, boring answer — is where the real money lies.”

 

Image: Christopher Penler / Shutterstock.com

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