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‘Hanging by a Thread’: Conservative Writer Reveals Trump’s True Weakness

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President Donald Trump loves polls when they’re in his favor, but in recent weeks especially, they have not been his friend.

After imposing a disastrous and pointless government shutdown, Trump was pummeled in the polls, leading him to retreat. Now, polls show that his “plan B” to get funds for his promised border wall — declare a national emergency — is also deeply unpopular, indicating it could do even more damage to his standing than the shutdown did.

Americans disapprove of the plan in a stark 66 percent to 34 percent split, according to CBS. Even among Republicans, approval for the plan only stands a 73 percent — a strong majority, to be sure, but an indication that even a significant chunk of his base would be put off by the move.

Jennifer Rubin, a conservative columnist deeply opposed to Trump, says the rest of the poll’s numbers are even more devastating for the presidency than they initially appear. She notes, first, that Trump hasn’t been able to completely distort voters’ perceptions of reality with regard to North Korea. While he has insisted that the nuclear threat from the rogue regime has vanished, 82 percent of voters think leader Kim Jong-un has kept or expanded his nuclear arsenal, and 58 disagree with Trump’s plan to move forward with a second summit.

And the topic on which Trump polls the best actually reveals his greatest vulnerability.

She continued:

Second, Trump’s presidency is hanging by a thread — the economy. With unemployment so low and attitudes toward the economy so high, it is historically anomalous to see such negative attitudes toward the president and such pessimism about the direction of the economy. Only 28 percent say the state of the union is better than it was a year ago. The divide between attitudes toward Trump (dropping into the high 30s in most polls) on one hand and, on the other, the economy and willingness to credit Trump for the economy (46 percent give Trump a great deal of credit on the economy; another 31 percent give him some credit) suggest that good economic times don’t make up for Trump’s atrocious performance on other matters. Coupled with the fact that presidents get a disproportionate amount of credit or blame for the economy, one could see his meager approval numbers sinking still further should we enter a period of economic decline.

With Trump’s threadbare level of public support hanging almost entirely on the positive state of the economy, even a minor downturn could send his approval crumbling to the ground.

That should be particularly nerve-wracking, as a recent poll of 800 CEOs showed a spike in their concern about a potential global recession in 2019.

That’s likely one of the keys reasons Trump caved and ended the shutdown, despite claiming a willingness to let it go on for months or years: Experts were warning that it could cause the U.S. economy to contract.

Overall, Trump has been fortunate to have seen a continuation of the strong rate of jobs growth seen under President Barack Obama (though wage growth has yet to make an impressive recovery since 2008). But given the weight of all of Trump’s other scandals, he can’t risk letting this key bulwark against a tide of national outrage fall.

 

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Supreme Court Blocks House Subpoena for Trump’s Financial Records – for Now

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The U.S. Supreme Court has just issued a temporary stay blocking a House subpoena that would require the release of President Donald Trump’s financial documents. Chief Justice John Roberts issued the order.

The stay is until “further order,” and allows time for both sides to submit arguments, according to Bloomberg News.

Calling it an “indefinite delay,” the Associated Press notes the “hold could last a matter of days or weeks,” if the Court decides to let two lower court rulings in favor of the House stand.

“But the delay could extend for months if the justices decide they need to hear arguments and issue a written opinion,” the AP adds.

Responses from both sides are due Thursday, according to this document posted by Axios:

 

 

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House Investigating if Trump Lied to Mueller

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The U.S. House of Representatives is investigating if President Donald Trump lied to Special Counsel Robert Mueller during his 22-month long Russia probe.

The Washington Post reports the attorney for the House revealed the existence of the investigation to a panel of judges. The House is arguing that it must be allowed to see secret grand-jury materials from Mueller’s investigation. The Dept. of Justice has been blocking that request after a lower court ordered the materials handed over to Congress.

The New York Times adds that the investigation is focused on the written answers Trump submitted to questions from the Special Counsel.

It is a crime to lie to the FBI or the DOJ.

This is a breaking news and developing story. Details may change. This story will be updated, and NCRM will likely publish follow-up stories on this news. Stay tuned and refresh for updates.

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Three People Dead in Shooting at Oklahoma Walmart

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Three people were shot to death at a Duncan, Oklahoma Walmart, according to KOCO 5 News.

The Duncan Banner reports police have confirmed the shooting suspect is dead. It is currently unclear if they are included in the death toll.

A mass shooting at a Walmart in El Paso, Texas left 20 people dead and dozens injured. It led the company in September to ask customers to cease open-carry of guns and announce it would stop the sale of many types of ammunition.

Just days later Walgreens and CVS pharmacies, and Kroger and Wegmans supermarkets announced they too were asking customers to no longer enter their stores openly-carrying guns.

Developing…

This is a breaking news and developing story. Details may change. This story will be updated, and NCRM will likely publish follow-up stories on this news. Stay tuned and refresh for updates.

 

Image by Ian Britton via Flickr and a CC license

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