Nate Silver: Huge Odds Hillary Clinton Will Beat Donald Trump (Video)
World-Renown Statistician With Stellar Track Record Says Right Now Clinton Is the Hands-On Favorite
Nate Silver says Hillary Clinton has a 79 percent chance of beating Donald Trump in the November presidential election, which basically are 4:1 odds. Silver, who made a name for himself by properly calling 49 of the 50 states in the 2008 presidential election, and all 50 states in the 2012 presidential election, actually has a sports stats background, which is his current focus.
He puts his projection in those terms.
“We’re at halftime of the election right now,” Silver told ABC News’ George Stephanopoulos. “She’s taking a 7-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime. There’s a lot of football left to be played. She’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
“Trump has never been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign,” Silver continued. “He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
But Silver cautions that the race isn’t over yet. He and Stephanopoulos brought up the failed 1988 presidential bid of Democrat Michael Dukakis, who after the convention had a 17 point lead against his opponent, George H. W. Bush.
Â
Enjoy this piece?
… then let us make a small request. The New Civil Rights Movement depends on readers like you to meet our ongoing expenses and continue producing quality progressive journalism. Three Silicon Valley giants consume 70 percent of all online advertising dollars, so we need your help to continue doing what we do.
NCRM is independent. You won’t find mainstream media bias here. From unflinching coverage of religious extremism, to spotlighting efforts to roll back our rights, NCRM continues to speak truth to power. America needs independent voices like NCRM to be sure no one is forgotten.
Every reader contribution, whatever the amount, makes a tremendous difference. Help ensure NCRM remains independent long into the future. Support progressive journalism with a one-time contribution to NCRM, or click here to become a subscriber. Thank you. Click here to donate by check.