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Study Shows How Many Americans Are Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual, Transgender

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A new study by The Williams Institute of the UCLA School of Law asks, “How many people are lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender?,” and shows that almost nine million American adults  — close to 4% of the American adult population — identify as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender, and breaks down those numbers. The study, released today, examined five American and an additional four international population surveys and found, “women are substantially more likely than men to identify as bisexual,” and that 11% of the population, more than 25 million Americans, acknowledge some same-gender sexual attraction.

The study shows that an estimated .3% of Americans are transgender. Additionally, the Williams study shows 3.5% of American adults are gay, lesbian, or bisexual, including 1.8% of American adults who are bisexual.

Regardless of gender identity or sexual orientation, 19 million American adults have had same-gender sex.

Some may suggest the Williams Institute numbers are far smaller than what is commonly thought of as 10% of the population being lesbian, gay, bisexual, or transgender. I asked Gary Gates, the author of the Williams Institute study that very question via email Wednesday.

Gates says the 10% figure “is from a passage in a 1948 Kinsey book that reads, “”Ten percent of males are more or less exclusively homosexual for at least three years between the ages of 16 and 55″…even if he had used population-based data (which he did not), that is hardly a statement suggesting that 10% of the population identifies as LGBT.  The truth about 10% was that it was a brilliant political strategy as a figure that was large enough to “matter” but hopefully not so large as to threaten the general population.  The fact that the number remains so popular is a testament to that brilliance.  Kinsey was a notable scholar and scientist, but he never made a population-based estimate of the size of the LGBT community.”

I wondered if dramatically reducing the public’s perception of the size of the LGBT community helps us, or is self-defeating. Gates, a Williams Distinguished Scholar, responded,

“I guess I hold to a belief that, in the end, good science will be helpful to the community.  The stereotype of the community as rich, white, male, and urban is nearly as pervasive as the 10% figure.  The emergence of quality demographic data that includes questions about sexual orientation and gender identity has allowed us to highlight the diversity of the community in ways that we’ve just not been able to do in the past.  Getting sound information about the LGBT community is dependent on the willingness of surveys to ask sexual orientation and gender identity questions (and perhaps show that only about 4% of the population identifies as LGBT).   On the whole, I see that as a net positive and absolutely worth the risk.”

The Williams Institute study comes on the heels of a report issued last week by the Institute of Medicine (IOM) that “provides a thorough compilation of what is known about the health of [LGBT] groups at different stages of life and outlines an agenda for the research and data collection necessary to form a fuller understanding.” The day after that report was released, Secretary Kathleen Sebelius, head of the Department of Health and Human Services, called for increased reporting and studies that would “improve the lives of lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender people.”

These are major advances in the focus on the LGBT community.

 

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‘Down He Goes’: CNN Analyst Stunned by Core Trump Group in ‘Absolute Collapse’

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CNN analyst Harry Enten revealed on Monday support for President Donald Trump is “collapsing” among GOP-leaning independent voters — a core constituency.

“Who are the people who are dragging down President Trump’s approval rating?” Enten asked. “We are talking about a very important bloc for the president of the United States. That is, Republican leaning independents.”

In his first term in office, Trump at this point was at 73 percent support from that core constituency. But that’s changed.

“Down he goes, an absolute collapse,” among those voters, Enten explained. “Now, just 53% of independents who lean Republican now approve of the President of the United States.”

READ MORE: ‘Everybody Is Fighting’: Republicans Fear GOP ‘Dysfunction’ Will Blow the Midterms

Enten also said that during the 2024 election against Vice President Kamala Harris, Trump received 91 percent support from those independent GOP-leaning voters.

“But down he goes, down into the deep blue sea,” he said. “Now, at 53% on the job approval rating,” noting the 38-point drop from where Trump was during the 2024 election.

“This is a core group for Donald Trump, and they are waving, ‘Adios, amigos, goodbye.'”

Enten also suggested that Republican members of Congress are saying, “Oh, my God, I hope this doesn’t affect me.” He said, “if it does, a lot of those swing district congressional members, right on the Republican side, will be waving adios, amigos goodbye.”

Enten said what’s going on is GOP-leaning independent voters had supported Republican candidates “by 83 points, but now it’s 68 points — that’s a 15 point drop, again, in only 18 months time.”

“These are not numbers that Republicans win with. These are numbers Republicans lose with,” he warned.

READ MORE: ‘Lying’ Samuel Alito Is a ‘Coward’: Elections Expert

 

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‘Everybody Is Fighting’: Republicans Fear GOP ‘Dysfunction’ Will Blow the Midterms

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Republican senators are publicly speaking out against their House GOP counterparts over what some see as dysfunction under the leadership of Speaker Mike Johnson. They are warning that continued infighting could damage the Republican brand and cost them during the midterms.

According to The Hill, GOP senators were “dumbfounded” that House Republicans refused for weeks to pass the Senate’s Homeland Security appropriations bill, legislation that was supported by President Donald Trump.

“Republican senators across the political spectrum say they fear the Speaker has lost control of his conference and that it will be incredibly difficult to pass legislation before the midterm elections,” The Hill reports, noting the belief by some Republicans that they need to “rack up more accomplishments before Election Day.”

“It’s like a wreck over there,” one unnamed Republican senator told The Hill, speaking on the battles between Speaker Johnson and some GOP House members. “They don’t know if they’re coming or going. Everybody is fighting.”

Other Senate Republicans also expressed frustration.

READ MORE: ‘Lying’ Samuel Alito Is a ‘Coward’: Elections Expert

“It’s not like these things are hard. That’s the thing,” Senator Kevin Cramer (R-ND) told The Hill, while calling the House “rowdy.”

“I feel like the Senate has teed up things fairly easily for them, even to the point where if they don’t like it, they can blame us,” he said. “And they still haven’t taken the opportunity to actually govern, and I do think it’s hurting the brand.”

One of the most outspoken GOP senators also blasted House Republicans.

“My colleagues over there need to start playing team ball,” Senator Thom Tillis (R-NC) said. “Their behavior is being noticed by people. We can’t blame Democrats for the dysfunction that’s going on over there right now and it’s a really bad look for people going into at-risk districts going into November.”

“Set aside whatever your 5 percent disagreement is and play team ball between now and November or they’re going to live to regret it,” he advised House Republicans.

“The House is broken,” another unnamed GOP senator told The Hill. “The venting is more with Johnson. Senators don’t like to be criticized constantly by Johnson.”

Going forward, in an effort to pass more legislation, some Republicans want to “jam” the House by working with Democrats on bipartisan bills, then force Speaker Johnson to pass them, The Hill noted.

READ MORE: Trump Attacks ‘Very Disloyal’ GOP Senator — Calls for Him to Lose Primary

 

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Pundits Pushed ‘Polarization’ So Far SCOTUS Used It to Justify Racism: Policy Expert

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For decades, pundits and experts insisted that partisan polarization was the problem in American life. “Authoritarianism, oligarchy, and racism were symptoms rather than causes,” argues associate professor of public policy Jake Grumbach in “How Normie Pundits Paved the Way for the Supreme Court Voting Rights Disaster” at Slate.

“We built serious institutions around this diagnosis,” he explains — pointing to Duke University’s Polarization Lab, Princeton’s Bridging Divides Initiative, the political organization No Labels, and others.

The conservative justices on the U.S. Supreme Court snatched up that hypothesis, tweaked it, and turned it into Wednesday’s Louisiana v. Callais decision that severely further eroded the Voting Rights Act.

How?

Grumbach argues that the Supreme Court claimed that congressional districts that are polarized along political party lines cannot also be seen as being polarized along racial lines. Grumbach also argues that “for millions of American voters, race explains party affiliation.”

“To ‘control for partisanship’ when assessing racial gerrymandering is to erase the very mechanism through which racism travels,” Grumbach says.

READ MORE: Fetterman Is Why 51 Senate Seats Won’t Be Good Enough: Columnist

“The polarization nostalgists also badly misread the history they claim to be mourning. American politics has almost always been polarized by party,” Grumbach explains. “To conclude that partisan divisions negate racial divisions would be to assume that even the Civil War had nothing to do with race.”

While polarization-obsessed liberals “did not directly cause the Callais ruling,” they “laid an intellectual foundation.”

“When we spend years insisting that partisan division is the master pathology of American life, we delegitimized arguments about racism as divisive,” he says. “We created a cultural climate in which conflating race and party seems like a sophisticated, noninflammatory intervention rather than an evasion.”

And by doing so, they “handed five Supreme Court justices a respectable intellectual framework for a ruling that would otherwise look nakedly like what it is.”

READ MORE: Whistleblower Says DOJ Ordered Prosecutors to Rush SPLC Indictment: Report

 

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