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DOMA: Conservatives Evenly Split On Repeal (Exclusive!)

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Conservatives are evenly split in their support for DOMA, the 1996 law that bans federal recognition of same-sex marriages and allows states to choose to do the same. Based upon a poll released yesterday by HRC, the Human Rights Campaign, 45% of conservatives polled indicated support for DOMA, and 44% indicated they did not support the law, well within the margin of error.

These numbers were not published publicly in the DOMA poll, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, so to get them I emailed Michael Cole-Schwartz, HRC’s Press Secretary, who tells me that in addition to the 45-44 split for conservatives, only 21% of liberals favor DOMA, while 70% of liberals are opposed, and even moderates are heavily against support of DOMA: 27% of moderates support DOMA, and 56% oppose it.

Read: “The Republican Lie About DOMA

Today, dual bills were introduced in the House and in the Senate to repeal the law, already declared unconstitutional by two federal court judges and the president, who stated last month he would no longer defend  DOMA in court.

Yesterday, in “Americans to DOMA: Drop Dead,” I wrote that 51% of voters (not respondents, but voters) are opposed to DOMA and want it repealed, and only 34% of voters believe DOMA should stay the law of the land.

Thanks to a few readers who were pleased about this study’s results but then claimed they didn’t know if the survey was valid, (“Honestly, I don’t think this is a valid method of statistical testing. I don’t think the results are reliable, as much as I dearly wish they were,” wrote one,) I delved into the results and was very pleased.

You will be too.

But first, back to HRC’s Michael Cole-Schwartz, who in response to my question on the validity of the poll, tells me via email, “The poll was conducted by an internationally renowned polling firm, using industry-standard methodologies.  In fact, in the memo on the poll’s findings, the research firm lays out how the poll was conducted – including the sample size, the date of the interviews and the margin of error.  Additionally, the questionnaire has been made available so people can look at the exact working of questions and the order in which they were asked.”

So, if there are any nay-sayers, there you have it. Feel free to take another look at the poll.

I also looked into Greenberg Quinlan Rosner, who performed the survey. They list many accolades on their website, from a wide range of sources, including the Christian Science Monitor to the National Journal to The New Yorker.

Additionally, I looked into Stan Greenberg, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner’s CEO, who has worked internationally. Prior to his current role as a leading Democratic pollster, Greenberg earned a Harvard Ph.D. and taught at Yale for a decade.

Now, here’s the interesting part of the survey.

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner used results only from registered voters, 92% who voted in 2008, 80% who voted in 2010, and 85% say they are “almost certain” they will vote in 2012.

65% say they “feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track,” so no strong Democratic bias, and in keeping with what Reuters/Ipsos reports at 64% last week.

Respondents were pretty evenly split on their feelings for President Obama, 42% saying they felt “cool,” 44% saying they felt “warm.”

Read: “The Republicans In The House Want To Defend DOMA? Bring It On!

Overall, 42% approved of “the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job in charge of the House of Representatives,” and 45% did not. Again, clearly, no strong Democratic bias.

44% graduated college, 53% did not.

33% were aged 39 or lower, 20% were aged 40-49, and 44% were aged 50 or older.

As we know, the more educated and the younger a respondent is, the more likely they are to support civil rights for gays and lesbians. This clearly is not a group that is skewed younger and more educated.

Here’s the kicker:

38% were Democrats or leaned Democrat, 12% Independents, and 41% were Republicans or leaned Republican.

38% self-identified as conservative, 34% as moderate, and only 18% as liberal. Again, clearly these are not respondents particularly likely to support civil rights for same-sex couples.

72% were some form of Christian, 43% attend church at least once a week. Again, clearly these are not respondents particularly likely to support civil rights for same-sex couples.

Bottom line here, 51% of Americans — a majority – believe DOMA should be repealed.

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‘Cashing in’: Backlash as Trump Eyes Settling His $10B Lawsuit Against IRS

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President Donald Trump is now in “discussions” with his own government to settle his $10 billion lawsuit against the Internal Revenue Service, a federal agency he exercises limited influence over, after a contractor released 15 years of his tax returns in 2019, which were published by The New York Times two months before the 2020 election.

“The president’s lawyers asked a judge Friday to extend key deadlines on the multibillion lawsuit against his presidential administration, but hidden within the pages of the legal filing was a profound detail: that the president has been in talks with his own government staffers to ‘avoid protracted litigation,'” The New Republic reports.

“Good cause exists to grant an extension in this matter while the Parties engage in discussions designed to resolve this matter and to avoid protracted litigation,” Trump’s lawyers argued, TNR notes. “This limited pause will neither prejudice the Parties nor delay ultimate resolution. Rather, the extension will promote judicial economy and allow the Parties to explore avenues that could narrow or resolve the issues efficiently.”

TNR also repots that legal experts “have questioned whether a president can sue his own administration to pocket taxpayer money, and have expressed doubts about whether Trump’s Justice Department can appropriately defend the financial institutions.”

Critics allege a conflict of interest in the case.

READ MORE: ‘Incurable Conflict of Interest’: Kushner Under Sweeping Investigation by House Democrats

“Right out in the open, Donald Trump is suing his own IRS to try to steal $10 BILLION taxpayer dollars,” charged U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), who notes she has introduced legislation to prevent “this theft.”

Political scientist Brendan Nyhan described the situation as Trump “Negotiating with himself to loot the US Treasury.”

“Nothing beats reaching into the taxpayers’ pocket and helping oneself to $10 billion,” wrote Richard Field, the Director of the Institute for Financial Transparency.

“Trump is suing the federal government and cashing in. Who approves these settlements? HE DOES of course. There is no bottom to his shamelessness. Meanwhile American families suffer,” wrote U.S. Rep. Darren Soto (D-FL).

“Trump is just stealing $10 billion from taxpayers! That’s very MAGA,” charged Dean Baker, senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research.

READ MORE: Conservative Christian Broadcaster Slams Franklin Graham’s ‘Embarrassing’ Defense of Trump

 

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Trump’s MAGA Humiliation Playbook Is ‘Proof of Loyalty’: GOP Ex-Congressman

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MAGA has made a deal with Donald Trump, and the deal is that “the humiliation is the point,” argues Republican former U.S. Congressman Adam Kinzinger. In short, he says, “humiliating the MAGA faithful only binds them more tightly to Trump.”

Kinzinger, a never-Trump Republican who acknowledged last year that his politics are now probably closer to the Democrats, says that to “understand what Trump is doing, you have to stop thinking about each outrage as a separate event and start seeing them as a sequence.”

He walks through a timeline of humiliations.

Trump asked MAGA to believe the 2020 election was stolen, so they did, “including many who knew better.”

Trump asked MAGA to excuse the January 6 attack on the Capitol as a mere tourist visit, and they did.

“He asked them to accept that his 91 criminal indictments were a political witch hunt — and they did, turning his mugshot into a fundraising image,” he writes. “Each ask was larger than the last. Each capitulation required more of them — more willingness to contradict their own eyes, their own values, their own stated beliefs.”

READ MORE: ‘Incurable Conflict of Interest’: Kushner Under Sweeping Investigation by House Democrats

Kinzinger reveals the psychology of what he believes is actually happening here.

“Every time MAGA accepts something they previously would have considered unacceptable, Trump’s hold on them gets stronger, not weaker. Because now they’ve paid a price. They’ve told their neighbors, their families, their coworkers, that they believe this. Walking it back would mean admitting they were wrong. And the movement doesn’t allow that.”

What does this mean for the future?

“Don’t expect a wholesale collapse in Trump’s support,” he predicts. “Some will leave, others have tied their conscience to his success. Those will double down, again and again.”

Kinzinger expects that MAGA is not breaking apart. “I don’t think there’s some dramatic rupture coming where the movement looks in the mirror and decides enough is enough. That’s not how this works,” he writes. Because Trump has trained his movement to accept humiliation as “proof of loyalty.”

“The more outrageous the thing he asks them to believe, the more committed they become,” he explains, “because disbelief now would mean admitting everything they’ve already accepted was wrong. It’s a trap that gets harder to escape the longer you’re in it.”

But, he says, “the humiliation ritual works until the day it doesn’t.”

“Until the day enough people decide that the price of belonging is higher than the price of leaving. We’re not there yet,” he explains. “But we’re closer than Trump wants you to think.”

READ MORE: Conservative Christian Broadcaster Slams Franklin Graham’s ‘Embarrassing’ Defense of Trump

 

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How Trump’s ‘Christian Fiefdoms’ Subvert Democracy and Crush Dissent: Columnist

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The Trump regime has an “erratic” and “theologically incomprehensible” preferred religion, a “bellicose, nationalist Christianity,” that is organized along various “fiefdoms,” argues Sarah Posner at Talking Points Memo. Those spheres of control and influence are “aimed at protecting, and even justifying, the regime’s impunity.”

Posner writes that the “goal of the Christian nationalist project is to subvert democracy, human rights, and the rule of law.”

She posits that during Trump’s second term, the White House and federal agencies “have been bludgeoning federal employees, the press, and the public with religious pronouncements of moral superiority to perceived enemies.”

On Easter Sunday, several administration agencies posted social media messages “heralding Christ’s resurrection,” the Associated Press reported.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth wrote: “The tomb is empty. The promise is fulfilled. Through His sacrifice, we are redeemed. We stand firm in faith, courage, and truth.”

READ MORE: ‘Incurable Conflict of Interest’: Kushner Under Sweeping Investigation by House Democrats

“He is risen,” was the message from both the Department of Homeland Security and the State Department.

The Department of Justice went even further.

“Today, as millions of Christians gather in their churches across the nation to celebrate the resurrection of Christ, this Department —- is proud to protect and defend religious liberty,” the message read.

Posner argues how various administration officials use religion.

JD Vance “starts fights with the pope over his anti-war statements (even as Vance leaks to the press, with an eye to 2028, that he was against the war).”

Through his prayer meetings and press conferences, Secretary Hegseth “aims to compel Americans to embrace his Christian nationalist bloodlust and war crimes, and this week compared reporters to Pharisees for insufficiently cheerleading for the military.”

Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer “has promoted her Catholicism in prayer meetings modeled on the ones Hegseth hosts at the Pentagon.”

“All these moves,” Posner writes, “are designed to crush dissent, marginalize other Christianities and religions, and empower government officials to violate the law. The fiefdoms, in different ways, prop up the would-be king’s corruption, and that of his allies.”

READ MORE: Conservative Christian Broadcaster Slams Franklin Graham’s ‘Embarrassing’ Defense of Trump

 

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