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Nate Silver: Marco Rubio Is More Conservative Than Santorum — Or Reagan

by David Badash on February 19, 2013

in News,Politics

Post image for Nate Silver: Marco Rubio Is More Conservative Than Santorum — Or Reagan

Nate Silver, the man who accurately predicted the 2012 presidential elections almost to the decimal point, says that Marco Rubio is more conservative than Rick Santorum, or even Ronald Reagan.

In looking at three different statistical measuring methods of presidential candidates and those who may become, Silver writes that “Mr. Rubio achieves a score of 51 by this method. What does that mean, exactly?

The last two Republican presidential nominees, John McCain and Mitt Romney, had a score of 39 by comparison, meaning that they were more moderate than Mr. Rubio. Mr. Rubio is also rated as being to the right of Ronald Reagan, who had a score of 44, and George W. Bush, who had a score of 46. Among Republican presidential nominees since 1960, in fact, only the extraordinarily conservative Barry Goldwater, who had a score of 67, rates as being more conservative than Mr. Rubio.

And while Silver doesn’t mention Santorum by name, his chart (bottom) shows Santorum with a score of 46 — tied with George W. Bush.

Who’s more conservative than Rubio?

Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell — dubbed “Governor Ultrasound” by Rachel Maddow for his pre-abortion transvaginal ultrasound position.

Te Party freshman Senator Ted Cruz, who was just last week lambasted by Senator John McCain — for attacking Chuck Hagel. After McCain himself invoked a McCarthy-esque stance in Hagel’s hearing for Secretary of Defense, McCain felt Ted Cruz went overboard. That should say something.

Also, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Michele Bachmann, Rand Paul, and finally, yes, for those who remember history or their history books, Barry Goldwater.

Pretty scary stuff.

What Silver doesn’t spend much time on, but is worth noting, is that the GOP’s God, Ronald Reagan, by today’s standards, would have been a moderate Republican.

Mr. Rubio stands out less when compared to Republicans of today. Whereas in 1980 the average Republican member of Congress had a score of 30, the average Republican in the most recent Congress had a score of 48, very close to Mr. Rubio’s.

Let’s ponder that for a moment.

Thirty Three years ago, President Ronald Reagan had a score of 30. Today’s “average Republican in the most recent Congress had a score of 48.”

That’s a 60 percent swing to the right in just three decades.

The Republican party isn’t the party of conservatism. They’re the party of radical right wing ideologue Tea Party nuts.

And they’re killing America.

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{ 1 comment }

James_M_Martin February 19, 2013 at 11:57 pm

"Nate Silver, the man who accurately predicted the 2012 presidential elections almost to the decimal point, says that Marco Rubio is more conservative than Rick Santorum, or even Ronald Reagan." This sentence is meaningless. Rubio is conservative *in the same ways* that Santorum is conservative, but Reagan was nowhere near as conservative as either Santorum *or* Rubio. Reagan would never be the misogynist and homophobe that Santorum is, and he would not be as anti-Middle Class and anti-poor as Rubio is. In other words, whether you view conservatism with an eye to social issues, or you view it with an eye to fiscal issues, Reagan couldn't hold a candle to either of them. He was closer to middle-of-the-road than most think.

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