Nate Silver Has a Message for Republicans Running Next Year: Worry. Big-Time.

Noted Statistician Says Kansas Results Should Be ‘*Really* Worrying for Republicans’

Nate Silver thinks Republicans running next year should start worrying. Now. The famous statistician whose track record in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections made him a super-star was mocked by many last year as he consistently gave Hillary Clinton better odds of winning the White House than Donald Trump, but by a far less margin than most others. Suffice it to say when nearly everyone got it wrong, Silver’s method was more right than almost anyone else.

Silver looks at Tuesday’s slim win by Republican Ron Estes (photo) over Democrat James Thompson in the very red state of Kansas, and says worry, Republicans should worry.

Estes beat Thompson by less than seven points, in a state Trump beat Clinton in by 20 points, and a district that went for Trump by 27 points.

According to Silver, if you apply those results nationwide, Democrats would pick up 122 seats in the U.S. House, plus U.S. Senate seats in Texas, Utah and Mississippi, Arizona, and Nevada. He made his remarks via Twitter in response to an absolutely false tweet from President Donald Trump, lauding Estes for “easily winning.” He didn’t.

That would, in theory, mean a Democratic majorities in the House and Senate – but that’s just a simple projection. 

On his FiveThirtyEight website early Wednesday morning Silver described the political environment as “Cloudy with a chance of landslide. An anti-Trump/GOP landslide, that is.”

Of course, the last thing Democrats can afford now is complacency. We have to fight, and fight hard, every day. There’s too much left to lose, on top of too much already lost/stolen/damaged. 

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