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Polls from Battleground States Just Released – What Do They Show?

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8 States, 22 Polls – What Does It All Mean?

Polls from seven battleground states were released Wednesday afternoon. What do they show?

Let’s take a look.

Based on the below numbers, via Political Wire, it looks like Clinton is ahead in Florida, Michigan, and Colorado. It also looks like Trump is ahead in Ohio, Arizona, and Georgia. And it looks like Virginia and Nevada are toss ups.

But taking a longer view, Nate Silver gives Clinton an 80.7% chance of taking Michigan, an 82.5% chance of winning Virginia, a 74.7% chance of winning Colorado, and a 52.5% chance of taking Nevada.

And Silver gives Trump a 51% chance of taking Florida, a 66% chance of taking Ohio, a 69.7% chance of taking Arizona, and an 87.3% chance of taking Georgia.

What does it mean? It’s all about turnout. 

And if you think this is a lot, look at what Nate Silver just posted:

And he concludes:

Here are today’s state polls:

FLORIDA: Four Polls

Clinton 48%, Trump 40%, Johnson 3% (TargetSmart)
Trump 49%, Clinton 45%, Johnson 2% (Trafalgar)
Clinton 49%, Trump 47%, Johnson 3% (CNN)
Clinton 46%, Trump 45%, Johnson 2% (Quinnipiac)

MICHIGAN: Two Polls

Clinton 50%, Trump 43%, Johnson 4% (Mitchell)
Clinton 47%, Trump 28%, Johnson 11% (Michigan State)

VIRGINIA: Two Polls

Clinton 44%, Trump 39%, Johnson 5% (Winthrop)
Trump 44%, Clinton 41% (Hampton University)

OHIO: Two Polls

Trump 49%, Clinton 44%, Johnson 2% (Trafalgar)
Trump 46%, Clinton 41%, Johnson 5% (Quinnipiac)

COLORADO: One Poll

Clinton 44%, Trump 41%, Johnson 8% (Emerson)

ARIZONA: Two Polls

Trump 47%, Clinton 43%, Johnson 2% (Emerson)
Trump 49%, Clinton 45%, Johnson 5% (CNN)

GEORGIA: One Poll

Trump 51%, Clinton 42%, Johnson 2% (Emerson)

NEVADA:

Trump 49%, Clinton 43%, Johnson 5% (CNN)
Clinton 45%, Trump 45%, Johnson 4% (JMC Enterprises)

 

Image by Michael Rosenstein via Flickr and a CC license

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RIGHT WING EXTREMISM

Watch: Florida Dems Walk Out After DeSantis’ Surgeon General Refuses to Say if Vaccines Work

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Democrats on a Florida state Senate committee walked out of the confirmation hearing of Governor Ron DeSantis’ Surgeon General nominee, Dr. Joseph Ladapo, a far right-wing anti-science extremist after he refused to answer if vaccines are safe and effective, and why the Dept. of Health has stopped publicly posting COVID data.

Ladapo, who has been in the position for months, has ties to an infamous conspiracy theorist doctor who talks about alien DNA, demon sperm, and pushes hydroxychloroquine as a COVID cure.

Asked if the COVID vaccines are effective, Ladapo refused to say “yes” or “no.” The Tallahassee Democrat reported Ladapo’s answers were “long-winded, indirect,” and that he “gave murky answers about his criticism of the Biden administration and his ability to work with the federal government, and whether he had a plan for ending the pandemic in Florida.”

“I would say that, that the, the question is a scientific one and it’s one that is answered with data. So, so, the, the question, the question is informed by data on specific outcomes and specific, specific therapies. So that’s a that’s the, that’s the scientific question.”

The Senator, polite but frustrated, pushed back: “Just a yes or no. Do vaccines work? In fighting against COVID-19? Yes or no?”

Related: DeSantis Vows to Fight FDA After COVID Treatment His Top Donor Invested in Is Found to Not Fight Omicron

“Senator,” replied Ladapo, an anti-vaxxer who opposes testing for the deadly coronavirus. “I just, I as a scientist, you know, I I, I am compelled to answer the scientific question, and I’d be happy to answer any specific scientific question that you have related to vaccines and COVID-19.”

So she tried again.

“Scientifically, does the, do the vaccines work against preventing COVID-19? Yes or no?”

“So, yes or no questions are not that easy to find in science,” Ladapo obfuscated. “So, I will I understand I think I have better clarity about your your question at this point. So what I would say is that the most commonly used vaccines in the United States, which would be the the Pfizer product and the product that was was developed by Moderna have been shown to have relatively high effectiveness for the prevention of hospitalization.”

Later, he was asked why the state has stopped publicly releasing COVID data. He again obfuscated.

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BREAKING NEWS

SCOTUS Justice Breyer Retiring

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U.S. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer, 83, is retiring at the end of the Court’s term. Breyer, nominated by President Bill Clinton in 1994, is one of just three liberals left on the nation’s highest court.

Progressives have been working to convince Breyer to retire while President Joe Biden still has a Democratic majority in the Senate.

NBC News’ Pete Williams broke the news. He notes President Biden committed to nominating the first Black woman to the Supreme Court.

 

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21ST CENTURY VERSION OF A BOOK BURNING

Mayor Who Promotes His City’s ‘Progressive Leadership’ Blocks Taxpayer Funds Over Library’s ‘Homosexual Materials’

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Last March, Ridgeland, Mississippi Mayor Gene McGee spent time reading books to students at a local elementary school in celebration of Dr. Seuss’ Read Across America Week.

In September Mayor McGee signed a proclamation promoting Constitution Week, celebrating the 234th anniversary of the drafting of the U.S. Constitution.

Mayor McGee, who says his city of Ridgeland “attracts new businesses and new residents because of its vibrant businesses, progressive leadership, excellent schools and welcoming neighborhoods,” this week is refusing to release $110,000 in already appropriated funds to the local library because it has “homosexual materials” that he claims violate his Christian beliefs.

McGee “told me that the library can serve whoever we wanted, but that he only serves the great Lord above,” Tonja Johnson, executive director for the Madison County Library System told the Mississippi Free Press.

The counsel for the library board, Bob Sanders, was asked at a Tuesday meeting of the Ridgeland Library’s board if the mayor has legal authority to block the funds.

“Uh, no.” Sanders responded.

Mississippi Free Press reporter Nick Judin adds that “the mayor’s action may well violate basic constitutional rights, based on earlier court cases on the subject of LGBTQ book bans, including Sund v. City of Wichita Falls.

On Twitter, Judin adds more details:

Judin also offers this plea: “if you are sharing this story to make a point about Mississippi, I encourage you to remember that Mississippi is not just Gene McGee. Mississippi is also Tonja Johnson and the library board who voted unanimously to ignore his demands.”

No word yet on if the funds will be released.

 

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