Nate Silver: ‘Yeah, Jeb Bush Is Probably Toast’

The highly accurate statistician suggests Jeb Bush’s days are likely numbered.

“There are plenty of times when the conventional wisdom is right. This is probably one of those times,” Nate Silver wrote today.

What time is it? “Probably” time for Jeb Bush to exit the 2016 GOP presidential race. 

Silver notes “Bush received poor reviews for his debate performance from political commentators of all stripes,” pointing to Wednesday night’s CNBC GOP debate.

“Bush lost a probably ill-advised confrontation with Marco Rubio over Rubio’s absences from the Senate. Bush’s closing statement seemed stilted. He was the setup for a Chris Christie applause line about fantasy football. And for much of the debate, he was an afterthought, receiving the second-lowest amount of talk time among the candidates,” Silver observes.

Silver says there are plenty of other GOP candidates who can take over for Bush, and concludes, “the Republican establishment can’t wait that much longer to get its act together. And the most expedient way to do that may be to kick Bush to the curb.”

 

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