The New York Times’ Nate Silver has yet again increased President Obama‘s chances of winning a second term to 85.5%, continuing his momentum over the past few weeks. Silver’s model projects Obama winning 306 electoral college votes, but still only 50.5% of the popular vote.
According to Silver’s math (yes, Republicans, it’s called math,) Mitt Romney has a mere 14.5% chance of winning on election day, or about a one in seven chance.
The latest Pew Poll puts the numbers at 50% Obama, 47% Romney.
Elsewhere, for the latest popular vote estimates, Polltracker puts Obama over Romney by +.7%, Real Clear Politics puts Obama up by .5%, and the Huffington Post gives Obama 277 electoral college votes against Romney’s 191.
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